可能是有史以来最好的统计书籍：如何克服困难并做出更好的决定[有声读物]

English | ASIN: B0D7WF4RRM | 2024 | MP3@64 kbps | ~09:57:00 | 273 MB

Haim Shapira, Qarie Marshall (Narrator), "Probably the Best Book on Statistics Ever Written: How to Beat the Odds and Make Better Decisions"

Taking an amusing and digestible look at the usually dry world of probability and statistics, this is the ultimate guide to how you can incorporate them into everyday life, from one of the world’s most sought-after experts in game theory.

This book reveals how statistics and probability are fundamental to our everyday lives—from advertisements to public opinion polls, weather forecasts to government policies, scientific research to stock market information. Haim Shapira then presents a myriad of anecdotes, riddles, case studies and practical exercises in his trademark witty voice to guide the reader through the importance of statistics and probability in everyday life. Some examples include

• making sense of NBA stats—discover who is the greatest scorer of all time • a beginner’s guide to gambling successfully • why events of very low probability have happened, are happening and will happen • what role stats have to play in flat-earth conspiracy arguments • the likelihood of winning the lottery • misconceptions about statistical findings surrounding COVID-19 • what “beyond reasonable doubt” really means • a case of misunderstood probabilities in the Sally Clarke and OJ Simpson trials

With easy-to-follow explanations, tables and graphs of all the maths behind the statistics—averages, standard deviation, percentiles, logarithmic scales, correlation coefficient—this book provides everything you need to know to determine your options and calculate your chance of success, thereby learning to make better decisions.

中文|亚洲：B0D7WF4RM|2024|MP3@64kbps | ~ 09:57:00 | 273 MB Haim Shapira，Qarie Marshall（旁白），“可能是有史以来最好的统计学书籍：如何战胜困难，做出更好的决定” 以有趣和易于理解的方式看待通常枯燥的概率和统计世界，这是如何将它们融入日常生活的终极指南，来自世界上最受欢迎的博弈论专家之一。 这本书揭示了统计和概率如何成为我们日常生活的基础——从广告到民意调查，从天气预报到政府政策，从科学研究到股市信息。然后，Haim Shapira以他标志性的诙谐声音呈现了无数轶事、谜语、案例研究和实践练习，引导读者了解统计和概率在日常生活中的重要性。一些例子包括 •理解NBA统计数据-发现谁是有史以来最伟大的得分手•成功赌博的初学者指南•为什么发生、正在发生和将要发生的概率非常低的事件•统计数据在平面地球阴谋论中扮演什么角色•中彩票的可能性•对新冠肺炎统计结果的误解•“超越合理怀疑”的真正含义•Sally Clarke和OJ Simpson试验中误解概率的案例 这本书提供了易于理解的解释、表格和图表，涵盖了统计数据背后的所有数学——平均值、标准差、百分位数、对数尺度、相关系数——这本书为你提供了确定选择和计算成功机会所需的一切，从而学会做出更好的决策。

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